Zaštita baštine u budućnosti: tehnike predviđanja budućnosti kao pomoć oporavku i obnovi za vrijeme Covid-19 krize
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15291/libellarium.3480Ključne riječi:
baština, COVID-19, odgovor na krizu, oporavak, strategija, tehnike predviđanja budućnostiSažetak
Cilj. Ovaj rad nastoji prikazati na koji način baštinske organizacije mogu odgovoriti na krizu i plan oporavka u slučajevima kada se radi o mnogostrukim budućim neizvjesnostima i to koristeći tzv. tehnike predviđanja budućnosti (engl. Futures Thinking). U radu se prikazuje pristup koji je Historic Environment Scotland (HES) koristio pri planiranju oporavka i obnove za vrijeme Covid-19 pandemije.
Pristup/metodologija/dizajn. U radu se kroz studiju slučaja prikazuje kako su raznovrsne tehnike anticipiranja budućnosti koristile da bi se postigla fleksibilnost rada HES-a. Radom se također ispituje kako će metodologija korištena u tim procesima pomoći u razvoju tehnike anticipiranja budućnosti i inkubatora virtualne inteligencije kao mehanizama podrške HES-ovim aktivnostima.
Rezultati. U radu je prikazano na koji način tehnike predviđanja budućnosti, kao na primjer planiranje scenarija, mogu biti upotrijebljene u mapiranju kritičnih neizvjesnosti i identifikaciji poslovnih prioriteta u različitim mogućim scenarijima neke baštinske organizacije. Prikazan je put koji je HES prošao u implementaciji tehnika predviđanja budućnosti i kako ih je koristio da bi započeo proces stvaranja otpornosti i održivosti u svojim aktivnostima
za vrijeme krize.
Originalnost/vrijednost. Budući da baštinske organizacije u tradicionalnom smislu ne koriste tehnike anticipiranja budućnosti, ovaj rad prikazuje slučaj u kojem su takvi alati vrijedni doprinosi i pristupu planiranja i preživljavanja kriza.
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Autorska prava (c) 2022 Chiara Ronchini
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